Turn passages into structured predictions
Each entry is represented as a prediction with a domain, description, implied mechanism, social role and an initial specificity estimate.
How well did science fiction anticipate the technologies that followed?
A research benchmark that scores fictional technologies against later real ones by specificity, lead time and mechanism. It shows the kind of evaluation design CosmoVentures brings to AI evaluation and to foresight work.
What is measured Specificity, lead time, functional fit, mechanism and societal role.
Each entry is represented as a prediction with a domain, description, implied mechanism, social role and an initial specificity estimate.
The benchmark combines semantic similarity with rule-based domain and phrase overlap to rank plausible real-world counterparts.
Final scores blend existence, functional, mechanistic and societal alignment, then adjust for specificity, novelty, lead time, vagueness and redundancy.
Average adjusted prediction score by author, from 0 to 100. Select an author to open the profile.
Domains, subscores and matched technologies
Inspect individual prediction-to-technology comparisons. Scores run from 0 to 100.
CosmoVentures designs and builds interactive pieces for organisations, from a first prototype to a finished guide.
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